Sunday, June 23, 2013

The Best Met Since ... Alex Ochoa?

David Wright has had a fantastic game today against the Phillies, going 4 for 5 with 2 doubles, a triple, and a home run. He becomes just the 40th known player to have such a game, as seen after the jump:

Sunday, May 26, 2013

The Impending Offensive Crisis

Recent trends and past history regarding offensive numbers indicate that runs per game will likely fall below 4.00 within the next five years, perhaps to levels not seen since 1972 or even 1968. Remarkable declines in hits, walks, and runs per game have created a dire situation for offenses in baseball. In addition, strikeouts continue to rise beyond record levels, and have done so for the first time in history without an accompanying rise in home runs. Singles and triples per game are at record lows, as lineups are dangerously relying on the long-ball. Non-home run base hits are at their lowest level since 1972, along with batting average and hits per game. Ratios of strikeouts to hits, walks, and runs are at all-time highs. Finally, the use of small-ball to create runs has been curtailed as well, allowing for fewer ways to score runs. Sacrifice hits per game are at an all-time low, and stolen base attempts per game are at a 42-year low. As a result of these factors, any significant one-year drop in home runs will prove disastrous for offenses.

(Click through to see the data.)

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Mike Trout's Cycle

As most everyone knows by now, Mike Trout hit for the cycle last night, in the process becoming the youngest AL player ever to accomplish the feat. However, Trout also holds a dubious (if trivial) distinction: the lowest known WPA for a player achieving a cycle. As a matter of fact, Trout's is the first cycle to produce a negative WPA:

Player Date Tm Opp Rslt 1B 2B 3B HR WPA
Mike Trout 2013-05-21 LAA SEA W 12-0 1 1 1 1 -0.012
Rich Gedman 1985-09-18 BOS TOR W 13-1 1 1 1 1 0.047
John Mayberry 1977-08-05 KCR CHW W 12-2 1 1 1 1 0.068
Candy Maldonado 1987-05-04 SFG STL W 10-7 1 1 1 1 0.071
Gil Hodges 1949-06-25 BRO PIT W 17-10 1 1 1 2 0.079
Don Mueller 1954-07-11 (1) NYG PIT W 13-7 1 1 1 1 0.083
Bob Elliott 1945-07-15 (2) PIT BRO W 15-3 1 1 1 1 0.087
Eric Valent 2004-07-29 NYM MON W 10-1 1 1 1 1 0.089
Cristian Guzman 2008-08-28 WSN LAD W 11-2 1 1 1 1 0.091
Greg Colbrunn 2002-09-18 ARI SDP W 10-3 1 1 1 2 0.095
Alex Rodriguez 1997-06-05 SEA DET W 14-6 1 1 1 1 0.095
Scott Cooper 1994-04-12 BOS KCR W 22-11 1 2 1 1 0.096
Jeff DaVanon 2004-08-25 ANA KCR W 21-6 1 1 1 1 0.098
Kirby Puckett 1986-08-01 MIN OAK W 10-1 1 1 1 1 0.099
Bill White 1960-08-14 (1) STL PIT L 4-9 1 1 1 1 0.102
John Olerud 2001-06-16 SEA SDP W 9-2 1 1 1 1 0.107
Stan Musial 1949-07-24 STL BRO W 14-1 1 1 1 1 0.113
Mark Grace 1993-05-09 CHC SDP L 4-5 1 1 1 1 0.114
Aaron Hill 2012-06-18 ARI SEA W 7-1 1 1 1 1 0.116
Todd Helton 1999-06-19 COL FLA W 10-2 1 1 1 1 0.121
Generated 5/22/2013.

The reason for this odd occurrence can be found below the fold:

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

AL Teams Partying Like It's 1999?

Just a quick observation about the standings at the moment:

The teams with the top four records in the AL: Texas, New York, Cleveland, Boston
In 1999: New York, Cleveland, Texas, Boston

Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Sand-tana?

Johan Santana's recent career-threatening shoulder surgery brings up a very valid question: if indeed his career is over, how will he be remembered? At his best he was the most dominating pitcher in the game, winning two of three Cy Youngs while being robbed of a third. In more recent years, he has been one of the biggest question marks in baseball, averaging just 161 innings between '09, '10, and '12, and missing all of '11 and '13. This paradox brings to mind the abrupt ending to another lefty's career, Sandy Koufax.


Thursday, April 4, 2013

Best Pitchers' Duels of the 1980s, Part 1

Here is a list of the best pitchers' duels of the early 1980s, one for each year:

April 10th, 1980: The aces of their respective teams, former Cy Young winner Ron Guidry of the Yankees and Jon Matlack of the Rangers hooked up for a great early-season match-up. Both pitched 9 shutout innings, with Guidry giving up just 2 hits to Matlack's 3. Neither allowed a walk, although neither struck out a lot of batters either (Guidry - 5, Matlack - 4). The game remained scoreless until the bottom of the 12th, when closer Goose Gossage of New York uncorked a wild pitch to score ex-Yankee Mickey Rivers from third base.

September 21, 1981: In a game I've already chronicled, Steve Carlton of the Philadelphia Phillies failed to pick up a victory despite 10 shutout innings against Ray Burris and the Expos. The game ended on a 17th inning walk-off single by Andre Dawson.

October 1, 1982: Both John Denny of the Phillies and Terry Leach of the Mets allowed just 1 hit, but Leach went 10 to pick up a shutout victory. Leach did walk 6, although the only hit was a Luis Aguayo triple in the 5th inning. Hubie Brooks's sac fly off reliever Porfi Altamirano in the 10th would be all the Mets would need in this one.

July 31, 1983: Both Mike Torrez of the Mets and Jose DeLeon of the Pirates pitched the games of their lives in this one, but ultimately it would be decided by the bullpens. DeLeon allowed just 1 hit and 3 walks against 11 strikeouts, pitching 9 innings of shutout ball. He carried a no-hitter into the bottom of the 9th before it was broken up by Hubie Brooks. Torrez, on the other hand, kept bending but did not break, allowing 8 hits, and getting out of jams in the 4th, 5th, 7th, 9th and 10th. He went 11 shutout innings. The turning point of the game may have come in the 7th, when Tony Pena of the Pirates was caught stealing home with two outs. George Foster drove home the winning run from second in the 12th inning off of Manny Sarmiento.